Predicting Presidential Elections and Other ThingsWhat do the following events have in common? In 2000, the election between George W. Bush and Al Gore was a virtual tie. The 1989 and 1990 vintages have turned out to be two of the best ever for Bordeaux wines. In 2001, the Federal Reserve lowered the interest rate eleven times. The decade of the 1970s was one of the worst on record for U. S. inflation. In 2001, the author of this book, at age 59, ran a marathon in 3 hours and 30 minutes, but should